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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2019
  • Volume: 

    8
  • Issue: 

    30
  • Pages: 

    97-113
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    452
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

1 Introduction In different countries affected by snowfall, sub-zero temperatures and freezing temperatures, special maintenance and control is maintained for roads and transportation networks each year with large budgets. The winter severity index is an index that combines different air effects into a single value to help the organization compare and normalize costs geographically and temporally. Researchers such as Strong and Shvetov (2006) have invented models of winter traffic, for example, Qui (2008) on winter road traffic and maintenance, Boselly and Edward (1993) on road maintenance, and Cerruti and Decker (2011) on human activities. Given that much of northwestern Iran is mountainous, the occurrence of freezing and snowfall is not the same in intensity and duration, and the necessary budget is not evenly distributed. Therefore, the necessity of knowledge based on the climatic facts of the region can be an important step in the proper functioning of the relevant organizations in the process of budget allocation for the maintenance and control of the road network in the North West region. 2 Materials and Methods Study area Northwest of Iran has some kind of topographical unity (Taleghani, 2013). In spite of the mountainous area, the flatlands and troughs are located in it. The most famous ones include the plain of Moghan, the plains of Tabriz and Urmia, and other plains around Lake Urmia and Lake Urmia itself. In general, the Northwest region has cold and mountainous climate due to its geographical location and topographic dispersion, especially in the cold season. And most of the rainfall in this season is in the form of snow falling and freezing, which is one of the highlights of this season' climate. Data and numerical analysis methods In this study, the mean daily temperature of 18 synoptic stations in Northwestern Iran (see Figure 1) was used from October 1 to the end of March of the following year in the 1986-2015 statistical period. Accordingly, temperatures below zero were assigned a positive algebraic signal and temperatures above zero were assigned a negative algebraic signal. Then, the cumulative amount of frost day degree was calculated during the above months. In this function, if the cumulative amount of frost day degree is negative for a given period, the cumulative value is zero and the new cumulative sum begins the following day. In this regard, it was done based on Asell's (1980) classification to obtain an adequate understanding of the degree of winter severity. Accordingly, the intensity of winter was determined in the study stations and was classified into five groups. Based on this classification, the cumulative frequency distribution of frozen degree-days more than 95% took place as the most severe and less than 5% as the mildest classes. Also, 15% high distances (80 to 95%) as more severe than normal, and 15% lower distances (5-20%) were classified as milder than normal, and 20% to 80% classified as normal. Synoptic analysis method To measure the changes in the general atmospheric large-scale circulation and to study the impact of atmospheric circulation on extreme climatic conditions, the Mean Circulation Composites data for the period of 1961-1985 as a representative of the past climate and the 1986-2016 as a period with the occurrence of climate change (WMO, 1989) were obtained based on NCEP / NCAR data. The difference maps were then plotted by subtracting the new statistics period from the old statistical period to show the changes in the general atmospheric circulation in these two periods using Grads software. 3 Results and Discussion Results of numerical analysis The survey of the mean frost degree day map of the region shows the difference between the regions. Sarab Station with 392 degrees in east and Maku station with 322 degrees northwest and Takab with 324 degrees in the south have the most significant winter intensity, whereas Pars Abad with 13-degree day shows the lowest winter intensity during the statistical period. Around Lake Urmia, especially in the south, relatively low values were observed. In addition, the survey of the map of minimum frost degree day's values of the region indicates the existence of a focal point in the east of the region at the Sarab station. In other words, even in the years when the region has mild winters, the intensity of winter cold at the Sarab station is reduced; however, it significantly differs from other stations. The investigation of the map of maximum frost degree days in the region also shows the intensification of winter cold in east (Ardebil with 773 degree days and Sarab with 709 degree days) and southeast (Takab with 830 degree days) and northwest (Maku with 623 degree days). The examination of the start and end dates of the cold season shows that in the region's severe winter foci, the cold season begins in the third decade of November and lasts until the third decade of March, while it begins in the first decade of December and ends in the first half of February in parts such as Parsabad. Results of synoptic analysis The mean geopotential height anomaly map of 500 hPa, for the months of October to March (cold period) from 1988 and 1989 in the study region (northwest of the country) shows that the negative anomaly of geopotential height is even as low as-10 m, which indicates a decrease in the thickness of the atmosphere during this time period. The 1988 surface air temperature anomaly map shows a negative temperature anomaly in the north and northwest of the country as compared to the long-term average, reaching more than-2 degrees in West Azerbaijan Province. This indicates colder autumn and winter than other years, which fully confirms the results of the winter severity index. The cold period anomaly map of 1998 also shows an increase in temperature this year as compared to the long-term average across the country, reaching as high as 3 degrees Celsius for the northern parts of West Azerbaijan province according to results from Calculate winter severity index. 4 Conclusions The surveys of northwestern Iran based on the use of total daily negative temperatures indicate that the Sarab, Maku, Takab stations have been the strong winter hotspots in the region. The most severe winters have also occurred in Ardebil and Sarab stations in the east, while Takab and Maku in the west of the region and the Takab station also have the highest record during the statistical period with 830 freezing degree-days. However, it was found that in severe winter foci, the cold season begins earlier and ends later. Based on the synoptic analysis, it was found that in 1998 the decrease in the thickness of the atmosphere caused more instability; thus, cold airflow at high latitudes and lower air temperatures, and ultimately increased winter cold intensity. The increase in atmospheric thickness in the winter of 1998 resulted in greater stability as well as the intensification of downstream currents due to delayed subtropical high-pressure retreat (STHP), leading to an increase in air temperature and a warm winter experience this year. Accordingly, it seems that the relevant road transport agencies of the country should take the necessary measures to establish fully equipped winter toll in Sarab, and Ardebil in the east and Takab and Maku in the west of region; in fact, with proper management of resources and costs, they work best while saving money.

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Author(s): 

RODIANOV S. | ASSEL R.

Journal: 

CLIMATE RESEARCH

Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2003
  • Volume: 

    24
  • Issue: 

    1
  • Pages: 

    19-31
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    1
  • Views: 

    169
  • Downloads: 

    0
Keywords: 
Abstract: 

Yearly Impact: مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2010
  • Volume: 

    14
  • Issue: 

    1 (65)
  • Pages: 

    179-196
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    4
  • Views: 

    1382
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

Arctic Oscillations (AO) are regarded as the influential factors in the changing climatic pattern of winters in northern hemisphere. In this research, we studied the relationship between winter severity in Tabriz and the climatic pattern using the data for winter climatic variables and the Sea Level Pressure (SLP) fluctuations index in the Arctic Ocean. The Spearman rank correlation was applied in order to find the relationship between the winter severity and the pattern. The results indicated the existence of a teleconnection correlation. After the calculation of the Winter Severity Index (WSI) for Tabriz, its polynomial trend was graphed, which shows a reducing trend indicating a reduction in the severity of winters and changing into temperate climate in Tabriz. Other reason for such a reduction is the declining trend of climatic factors like the number of snowy and freezing days, as well as the increasing trend of winter temperature. Based on the significant correlation between the AO Index and the climatic factors such as temperature, precipitation, snowy days and WSI, we might attribute the AO to the severity and/or temperateness of winters in Tabriz.

Yearly Impact: مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    1394
  • Volume: 

    9
Measures: 
  • Views: 

    465
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

لطفا برای مشاهده چکیده به متن کامل (PDF) مراجعه فرمایید.

Yearly Impact:   مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Author(s): 

RAMZANI NEZHD R.

Journal: 

OLYMPIC

Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2000
  • Volume: 

    8
  • Issue: 

    3-4 (SERIAL 18)
  • Pages: 

    47-56
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    1
  • Views: 

    1628
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

Winter Olympic games is a portion of Olympic and it is an infant comparing to summer Olympic. these games have less importance in point of view social and economical aspects. Few of scholars account less values significance to winter Olympic & believe it to be not adaptable to the Olympic Ideals. Amaturism and universalism also are considered with very much doubt. Professionalism has developed and there isn't the possibility of presence of all or many countries in these games. Winter Olympic needs especial environmental conditions. Countries which do not acquire long winter, extreme snow falls, slops and mountains do not have chance of attending in or progressing in these type of sports. There fore most European and north - American countries because of special conditions have brought these games under their dominance. It seems that changing of strategy IOC, Refine and Revision of Olympic games can play a great roke in achieving olympism.    

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Author(s): 

MOTAMED AL SHARIATI S. MOHAMMAD | REZAEI EZATOLLAH | BEIRAGHI TOOSI ARASH

Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2012
  • Volume: 

    13
  • Issue: 

    9
  • Pages: 

    33-38
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    1
  • Views: 

    1156
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

Background: Objective estimates of likelihood of death in burn patients would be useful in making treatment plans. Recently burn mortality has been decreased. Investigators were trying to find more integrated system of risk stratification in this group. The acute physiologic and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) III is widely used to predict outcome in intensive care units. The aim of this study is to evaluate the prognostic value of ABSI and APACHE III in burn patients.Materials and Method: The current cross-sectional study was conducted during a six month period in Imam-Reza hospital burn unit. In all patients more than 16 year-old the following variables were recorded. Age, sex, TBSA, percentage of deep burn and mucosal injuries, ABSI score, APACHE score and outcome of 90 patients were analyzed. Mean and standard deviation of scores were calculated. The independent t-test was used to compare the mean scores of the variables. P-value less than 0.05 was considered to be statistically significantResults: Ninety patients enrolled into the study (35 male and 55 female). Seventy cases survived (group 1) and 20 died (group 2). The mean score of ABSI system were significantly different between two groups (p<0.001).In contrast on the basis of APACHE system the differences between two groups were not statistically significant.Conclusion: ABSI is a reliable predictor burn patient’s mortality. The issue is in doubt for APACHE and needs to be more investigated.

Yearly Impact: مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Author(s): 

AZIZI GHASEM | SHAEMI A.

Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2004
  • Volume: 

    36
  • Issue: 

    49
  • Pages: 

    71-92
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    4
  • Views: 

    1764
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

In regard to environmental diversity and the role of climate on forming the Bioclimatic regions. In this research we use the papadalds classification Method in which emphasis on ecological factors. Main factors in this manner are: Winter severity, summer heat (thermal thresholds), length of frost free season, potential evapotranspiration, Water Balance and seasonal distribution of humidity rate. In this paper we selected 38 stations, which had enough climate data, and by use of Excel software proceeded them. The most important results of this research are: I.To show microclimatic details 2. Adjustment of output with performs of style from the viewpoint of agricultural products. 3. Agroclimatical diversity of Iran and much potential in order to increase crops. In this research stations divided, into seven major group and 12 types and 21 subtypes.

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2010
  • Volume: 

    5
  • Issue: 

    4 (20)
  • Pages: 

    259-266
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    3026
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

Introduction: Liver is the main organ in the metabolic process of carbohydrates. Alterations in carbohydrates metabolism and diabetes mellitus (DM) are common in cirrhotic patients. For instance, resistance to insulin is an important prognostic factor in liver cirrhosis. The aim of this study is to determine the incidence of diabetes and its effective factors in cirrhosis patients, as compared to the normal group. Materials and Methods: This case-control study was conducted on 100 patients with cirrhosis who were admitted to Aria, Bahman 2nd and Shahrivar 17th Hospitals. The subjects were selected through simple random sampling. Based on the criteria adopted for this study, the patients were qualified to enroll in the study. Checklists were completed for the patients. The presence of DM on the part of the subjects was diagnosed either by having a history of DM and the use of anti-diabetic drugs such as glybenclamid and insulin, or FBS ³ 126 mg/dL at two times. Data analysis was performed using Pearson Chi-square and Fisher exact test.Results: Out of all patients 37 were females and 63 were males (Mean age 63.57 years). Prevalence of DM and IFG in these patients were much more than normal population (P<0.05). There were significant statistically relationship between sex (F>M) and age>60 years in diabetes and cirrhosis patients in compare with normal group (P<0.05). Family history of DM and severity of cirrhosis were also associated with DM (P<0.05). Among complications of cirrhosis, prevalence of DM was more in patients with encephalopathy and ascites.Conclusion: In this study, our findings indicate that cirrhotic patients are at the increased risk of DM occurrence. Female sex, age>60 years, family history of DM, severity of liver disease and presence of encephalopathy and ascites were associated with DM occurrence in these patients. The Regular screening for DM can be useful for early diagnosis and treatment of these patients.

Yearly Impact: مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Journal: 

GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2004
  • Volume: 

    11
  • Issue: 

    -
  • Pages: 

    231-238
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    1
  • Views: 

    180
  • Downloads: 

    0
Keywords: 
Abstract: 

Yearly Impact: مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Author(s): 

THORNES J.E.

Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2002
  • Volume: 

    -
  • Issue: 

    11
  • Pages: 

    0-0
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    1
  • Views: 

    117
  • Downloads: 

    0
Keywords: 
Abstract: 

Yearly Impact: مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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